Electoral Vote Estimate
gregladen | November 7, 2016The 2016 Electoral Vote Prediction
I'm finished making predictions for the 2016 Presidential Election contest.
According to my model, Hillary Clinton will win with 310 electoral votes to Donald Trump's 228 electoral votes. The map is shown above.
Caveats and wrongosities:
My model puts Iowa barely in Clinton's column. Polls say Iowa is for Trump.
My model puts New Hampshire barely in Trump's column. Polls say it is for Clinton, barely.
My model puts Ohio barely in Trump's column, but the polls put it in Clinton's column.
Polls and other data are ambiguous about Florida, my model is…