Change Point Analysis

There are two new scientific research papers looking at variation over the last century or so in global warming. One paper looks at the march of annual estimates of global surface temperature (air over the land plus sea surface, not ocean), and applies a well established statistical technique to ask the question: Was there a pause in global warming some time over the last couple of decades, as claimed by some? The answer is, no, there wasn’t. The paper is open access, is very clearly written so it speaks for itself, and is available here. One of the authors has a blog post here, in German…