chaotic system
illconsidered | March 26, 2006This is just one of dozens of responses to common climate change denial arguments, which can all be found at How to Talk to a Climate Sceptic.
Objection:
Scientists can't even predict the weather next week, so why should we believe what some climate model tells us about 100 years from now?
Answer:
Climate and weather are really very different things and the level of predictability is comparably different. Climate is defined as weather averaged over a period of time, generally around 30 years. This averaging over time removes the random and unpredictable behaviour of weather. Think of it as…
illconsidered | March 26, 2006This is just one of dozens of responses to common climate change denial arguments, which can all be found at How to Talk to a Climate Sceptic.
Objection:
Climate is an inherently chaotic system, and as such it can not be predicted.
Answer:
Firstly, let's make sure we define climate. Climate is generally viewed as an average of weather patterns over some meaningful time period. The number of years may vary and there are probably plenty of other finer points to quibble about in there, but the purpose of getting this definition out in front is to be sure we are safe in discounting the very…