Ike Will Strike Cuba Again

Hurricane Ike is currently over warm water south of Cuba, and is heading back onto land. Ike will pass over roughly the same area of Western Cuba that was hit by hurricane Gustav. Once back on land, Ike will weaken again, and then by tomorrow morning Ike will be positioned well over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

Even though Ike will be following part way in the path of Gustav, the earlier hurricane's cooling effects on the sea surface temperatures (SST) are now minimal. Conditions in the Gulf for causing the hurricane to strengthen are excellent. As Ike makes its way the long way across the Gulf of Mexico it will quite possibly strengthen to a Category Three or Four hurricane.

Ike's predicted path has been adjusted southward, but also, the different models used to predict the hurricane's likely course are agreeing with each other more than they were before, according to the National Hurricane Prediction Center. Right now, Ike's path has the storm moving over land roughly 100 miles north of the Texas/Mexico border, but the cone of probability indicates that land fall could be anywhere from three or four hundred miles south or north along the coast from this point.
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The tricky part of the prediction right now is an expected northerly (right-ward) shift in trajectory. If that does not happen at all, Ike's eye could make landfall in Mexico or right on the border. If it happens more strongly than expected, Ike's eye could make landfall much farther north along the Texas coast, with tropical storm force winds affecting Louisiana.

Right now, though, if I was in Corpus Christi, I'd be looking for the travel bags.

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Thankfully I took my vacation in Cuba in February.