Tropical Storm Colin

Colin will almost certainly not become a strong hurricane or reach landfall as a hurricane, so we should be looking out for Danielle the next name in the sequence.

According to NOAA, Colin will continue to strength and follow a WNW path until curving north. It will maintain tropical storm status or possibly (ca 25% chance) reach low level hurricane strength at most between 1.4 and 4 days from now and stay that way for a few more days without strengthening. After that, the models diverge so a lot of different things could happen, but most likely dissipation.

(Keep in mind, of course, that a tropical feature can under certain conditions reorganize and become a factor again, though that is not likely here.)

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There has not been much hurricane activity in the Atlantic for a while now, so unsurprisingly the reporting is starting to slip again. This post goes out to all you reporters at CNN and Reuters and Yahoo and everywhere else.
Odile was the strongest hurricane to strike the Baja Peninsula during the period of available data, roughly similar to Hurrican Olivia (1967). The storm reached Category 4 strength but was then weakened because of interaction with the effects of a prior hurricane in the area (Norbert).
Last Saturday night, party animals that we are, some friends and I went on

Not-so-patiently waiting to see if the surf is going to be right Sunday or if I have to take Monday off...

According to the 5 pm update, Colin has degenerated into a remnant low, and the Hurricane Center will no longer track it.

By Peromyscus (not verified) on 03 Aug 2010 #permalink