Public Opinion On Patriots, The Wall, Obamacare, Trump Taxes

Two Polls came out a few days ago, but I'm afraid that the news cycles have been swamped and they may have been missed. Here are some simple graphics. Plenty more data can be found at Public Policy Polling, and see RM on MSBNC below for more.

Screen Shot 2017-01-30 at 3.12.32 PM

Screen Shot 2017-01-30 at 3.14.14 PM

Screen Shot 2017-01-30 at 3.16.09 PM

Screen Shot 2017-01-30 at 3.17.50 PM

More like this

I'll return to the Research 2000 poll I discussed Wednesday, and also talk about this Gallup poll Digby discusses (and I think misinterprets), because I think we have to really think about the data we're collecting--and the questions in those polls really are different in quality from each other.…
I wrote about what I thought might happen in the New Hampshire primary a few days ago, but enough new stuff has happened to make it worth revisiting. Who will win the New Hampshire GOP Primary? And, perhaps more important, who will come in second, third, and fourth? We know that Donald Trump…
It is fun to look at polls, and using such data, decide which candidate will win which state, and ultimately, which candidate will win the electoral college. A lot of people and organizations do that, and for this reason, I don't. I do not have access to polls that no one else sees. Were I to use…
A couple of weeks ago, it was impossible to find a pundit or poll maven who saw a Trump victory as a possibility. I made the audacious claim at the time that this was incorrect, and I've been taking heat from it since then. Much of this widespread misunderstanding is ironically caused by the good…

Re - your Super Bowl barchart. One of my students showed me a pie chart with two categories - from a "survey of football fans"

- Want Patriots to lose: 18%

- Want Tom Brady to lose: 82%

Wow, from the second poll you linked to, this:

He loses out only to Ronald Reagan and even that's relatively competitive with Reagan getting 45% to Trump's 31%.

is strong evidence that the myth of Reagan, rather than the actual Reagan, is still strong in the minds of people.

Following their Brexit and US election forecasts, how can any poll be credible or worthy of comment?

Following their Brexit and US election forecasts, how can any poll be credible or worthy of comment?

Seems to me that people are voting against the status quo, for whatever reasons. And they are probably a little afraid to tell other people they are doing that.

Facing the total unknown might be good way to shake up your holiday a bit. Not so sure it's such a good thing to base your children's future on.

By metzomagic (not verified) on 30 Jan 2017 #permalink

#4 - the USA polls, on average, were accurate - had Clinton getting about 53% of the vote.

By t marvell (not verified) on 31 Jan 2017 #permalink

The third question seems to give a false dichotomy: it assumes that the wall will be built, and the only question will be who pays for it. I personally would rather not build the wall, making the question of who pays for it moot. And I suspect Trump has no idea how much resources would have to be poured into building the wall.

Furthermore, there is absolutely no way Mexico will pay for that wall, and for anybody who thinks they will, I have a special deal on a bridge between Brooklyn and Manhattan.

By Eric Lund (not verified) on 31 Jan 2017 #permalink

Eric, I saw it the other way, that people saw it as an alternative between paying for a wall and not having a wall.

I don't think there is no way Mexico will pay for the wall. Does Mexico benefit from NAFTA, which Trump has said he wants to renegotiate? If Mexico benefits from NAFTA, and I believe it to be a substantial benefit, then they might be willing to pay just to keep NAFTA as is.

Now with Trump wanting out of NAFTA, then there is no such incentive for Mexico to pay, but I don't think it is ridiculous for Mexico to offer to pay. The irony is, that right now Trump is offering to help Mexico build a wall on Mexico's southern border.