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William M. Connolley

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June 6, 2016
A very good post from Brian which manages to say in few words many of the things I've been thinking about the "debate" recently, using Global-Warming Alarmists, You're Doing It Wrong by someone called "Megan McArdle" as his text. Disclaimer: I haven't read that. Naturally, you should comment at the…
June 2, 2016
A Delayed Review of This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs the Climate by Naomi Klein By Peter Dorman (Evergreen State College); h/t Hank. I agreed with it all, so largely skimmed it nodding. I haven't read the book though, obvs. Hank sourced it to Understanding Climate Radicalism on metafilter,…
May 30, 2016
Or so say Science and various others; you can read the EU PR directly. And of course, mixed into the tenor of the times, this becomes "another reason to stay in the EU" (and we'll quietly forget about an apparently insane new car hire rule). Anyway, what immeadiately strikes me about this "new"…
May 23, 2016
[Update: and the answer was: leave. Oh dear.] This indecision's bugging me (Esta indecision me molesta) If you don't want me set me free (Si no quieres librame) Exactly who I'm supposed to be (Digame que tengo ser) Don't you know witch clothes even fits me? (Sabes bruja ropa me queda) Come on and…
May 15, 2016
Now that Sou has written at length, I can throw in my few thoughts. The first of which is that it is all really very silly indeed, in so many ways, by so many people. Firstly, what were Shukla, Maibach and all the others thinking when they did all of this from their work email accounts? As wiki…
May 13, 2016
As I've argued before, carbon taxes are better than carbon trading because they are simpler, there is less bureaucracy, less room for political interference, and less room for a parasitic class to form. In witness of which, David Hone's article about the International Emissions Trading Association…
May 11, 2016
There's much tweeting going on of Real Global Temperature Trend, p18 – Now how high is climate sensitivity? Here’s the answer of the world’s 13 leading climate experts! especially by those blessed to be in the magic 13. However, I like Jonathon Gregory's answer: It’s a good question but I don’t…
May 2, 2016
It's in the graun, so it must be true. However, just for once I'm going to agree with them. So, quick summary: Minnesota has a social cost of carbon, ish, and a Commission to quantify and establish a range of environmental costs associated with each method of electricity generation; and requires…
April 30, 2016
Moyhu wins the prize for actually bothering to track the GWPF and its waste-of-time "inquiry". That's about all there is to say, really. I could take the piss out of them a bit more I suppose but it hardly seems worth the effort. Terence Kealey (chairman) ends up looking like an idiot, which in GW…
April 26, 2016
TL;DR: nothing new to see here. Anyway, I was pushing my favourite theme, How to decarbonize? More free market! and to my absolute astonishment it didn't go down terribly well. A number of questions in the comments were re-hashing stuff from Carbon tax now but no-one ever re-reads old blog posts…
April 18, 2016
mt has a nice post pointing at an article by Ray Pierrehumbert, How to decarbonize? Look to Sweden. mt and I both like the article, though we choose to emphasise slightly different aspects of it. I offer you: In my experience, inaction on restraining carbon dioxide emissions does not stem from…
April 16, 2016
Time for some re-posting of everyone else's news, just to reassure regular readers after the Exxon stuff that I haven't gone over to the dork side. First though a link to more of the bleedin' obvious, Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming by Bart…
April 14, 2016
The drive to distract us from reality continues. Quite why otherwise sensible people are so keen on stuff like Pressure on Exxon Over Climate Change Intensifies With New Documents - I saw it via Stefan Rahmstorf's fb feed - I don't know, because it is utter drivel. To let Exxon have their rebuttal…
April 11, 2016
Disentangling greenhouse warming and aerosol cooling to reveal Earth’s climate sensitivity (T. Storelvmo, T. Leirvik, U. Lohmann, P. C. B. Phillips & M. Wild; Nature Geoscience 9, 286–289 (2016) doi:10.1038/ngeo2670) doesn't seem to have garnered much attention. I glanced at it, I think,…
April 8, 2016
I don't think I've insulted the ETS recently but the Tata Steel brouhaha provides yet another excuse. Emil Dimantchev, also a climate policy analyst with Thomson Reuters, said membership of the EU emissions trading scheme (ETS) had delivered Tata Steel’s European operations a £780m windfall through…
March 28, 2016
Hansen's paper, of course. Tee hee. So all you po-faced people who want to be Terribly Serious can go off and put really really silly comments over at ATTP's (gloss: too many people who haven't even read the paper are simply pushing their own views via the paper; much in the same way that too many…
March 13, 2016
But it still tastes sour. Perhaps it needs more time to mature? Rushing half-fermented stuff out is not good. What's in, what's out? Well, who can possibly be bothered to read and compare them line by line? Certainly not me. Certainly not any of the commentators at Eli's. Prove me wrong if you like…
March 8, 2016
Climate change critic Murry Salby loses case against university1. Tee hee. Thrust, ah-ha, king of the impossible. Or, perhaps not. O/T, but those interested in the fate of the US coal companies should read Bronte Capital on the puzzling disparity between the price of Peabody debt, and their shares…
March 8, 2016
Old news now, of course, but there's a blog post by Carl Mears with nice pix and explanation. Notice this is TMT, not TLT, but at this point we're largely arguing about the differences between the different groups, and its fine for that. It is, of course, all nicely published in proper style. By…
March 4, 2016
Alas. But it was a good week. this, for my own records, and possibly for you interest if that's the kind of thing you're interested in. Summary: Men: Caius serene, Downing troubled a little by Pembroke charging at them, but not past the Plough. Christ's up one, Kings spoons. Women: Jesus up two (…
February 28, 2016
Before laying into Hansen's latest, I feel a need to re-establish my taking-the-piss-out-of-the-wackos credentials. And here is a perfect opportunity: Even Sou struggles to cover this; I think we need Inferno. Or RS. Amusingly, not one of the comments at WUWT so far has dared to mention the V-word…
February 25, 2016
Says HuffoPo. It is bullshit, of course, but lots of people seem to have fallen for it. I found the HuffPo link because mt posted it; and DA quotes FOE saying Trade agreement trumps climate accord: WTO rules against India solar program. As usual, the usual suspects are so busy being outraged they…
February 24, 2016
Before I go any further, here's some hot bummping action from today: Right, I'm glad I've got that out of my system. It was a glorious afternoon for it. And there will be more tomorrow; Christ's get a shot at Kings, Pembroke get their's at Jesus which could be exciting; and in the women's world…
February 22, 2016
The Heartland Institute is sad. Because, like the Watties, they don't like their wiki page (ar). But they aren't going to take it lying down, oh no: In recent months, left-wing activists have hijacked The Heartland Institute’s profile at Wikipedia, removing objective descriptions of our programs…
February 20, 2016
mt notes that "Kiribati Bails Out": The low-lying island nation of Kiribati (formerly "Christmas Island") is buying real estate on the larger Fiji Island and planning to move everybody out, on account of, well, you know, water. The usual story of atolls being submerged by global warming. Or not;…
February 13, 2016
Hobbes, of course. Occasioned by the death of Scalia; it wasn't the bit I was seeking for, but it was too beautiful to overlook, and almost relevant. And who could resist The Fourth Law Of Nature, Gratitude. But I must stop, and come to my point. Which was: Hobbes insists on undivided power - he…
February 13, 2016
Early global warming says VV at VV. It is an interesting idea; if you haven't read his post you should. The AR5 radiative forcing graph he includes is interesting too: I hadn't realised the forcing had grown much more strongly after 1950.
February 10, 2016
Much fuss about the cuts at CSIRO climate research. This reminds me of a less serious situation 10, or perhaps 15 years ago, when cuts were proposed - I can't recall if they actually happened - due to a conversation somewhat like: Scientists: Global Warming is Real! Government: OK, we believe you'…
February 6, 2016
The Economist, about Ted Cruz, in an article about his presidential hopes: Conversely his appeal to moderates is limited. He has had little to say to or about the poor, beyond his perpetual gratitude that, when his father was washing dishes for 50 cents an hour, no one was sent by the government…
February 6, 2016
Pattern Recognition in Physics (or, if you prefer, Pattern Recognition in Physics) appears to have finally shuffled off this mortal coil; h/t DM. As late as January 2016 its arid mummified cadaver was propped up at http://www.pattern-recognition-in-physics.com/. But it would appear that either the…